Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 10.096325 11.529354 13.100881 14.953423 17.079224 19.444320 22.278090
2025-12-21 8.023727 9.867180 12.047690 14.821809 18.264437 22.405688 27.779840
2025-12-28 7.094590 9.195805 11.818675 15.342723 19.969194 25.857323 33.954370
2026-01-04 6.377147 8.630575 11.570740 15.703129 21.387189 28.968451 39.910766
2026-01-11 5.876244 8.257076 11.485597 16.205566 22.968780 32.369015 46.528994
2026-01-18 5.196086 7.545461 10.840863 15.828409 23.237349 33.917239 50.626183
2026-01-25 4.667096 6.983377 10.334070 15.568495 23.605357 35.584771 54.992903
2026-02-01 4.223925 6.497125 9.880339 15.322653 23.938494 37.186432 59.359236
2026-02-08 3.841410 6.062379 9.456520 15.067697 24.208835 38.679900 63.651159
2026-02-15 3.509200 5.672989 9.062916 14.813059 24.436707 40.096363 67.911349
2026-02-22 3.399895 5.628353 9.206301 15.431765 26.133336 44.029181 76.744505
2026-03-01 3.223664 5.456218 9.123855 15.659205 27.178822 46.943407 84.067902
2026-03-08 3.011694 5.209115 8.900917 15.634770 27.800293 49.206727 90.504391
2026-03-15 2.800379 4.945049 8.626423 15.493349 28.196338 51.098090 96.434115
2026-03-22 2.719597 4.903153 8.732837 16.038955 29.880024 55.451967 107.408871
2026-03-29 2.618872 4.815946 8.749305 16.416346 31.276024 59.381955 117.933820
2026-04-05 2.546406 4.774005 8.842809 16.942497 32.995191 64.065094 130.403351
2026-04-12 2.356398 4.495582 8.474442 16.547536 32.875053 65.145358 135.607064
2026-04-19 2.198721 4.266765 8.181999 16.275362 32.971622 66.654460 141.834896
2026-04-26 2.056156 4.056437 7.908929 16.017932 33.072001 68.170448 148.207972
2026-05-03 1.924186 3.857159 7.642425 15.750965 33.126356 69.587341 154.486924
2026-05-10 1.802776 3.670171 7.386507 15.484340 33.155894 70.946822 160.755841
2026-05-17 1.784184 3.692779 7.557076 16.132186 35.213694 76.855582 178.005557